SaberScouting’s Draft Top 100

June 2nd, 2008 · 21 Comments

By Kiley McDaniel & Frankie Piliere

Bad news first: there’s going to be a delay with the formal draft capsules and downloadable spreadsheet, but look for those later today or early tomorrow.

The good news? The SaberScouting Top 100 is hot off the presses, and while it will change as information comes to our attention, the final one should look pretty close to this.

We just wanted to get this edited version of our top 25 to the readers, and went ahead and tacked another 75 on to give you a few days to digest it, with Thursday’s draft quickly approaching.

This ranking also sets the stage for our updated mock draft, and various prospect profiles, scouting reports, statistical breakdowns, buzz updates, all that kind of stuff will be coming at you.

In these rankings, you’ll find the top 100 with just the ranking, name, projected position, and school. Anything else you’d want to know is probably on the way. Take a look at what we’ve got so far after the jump…

(Jemile Weeks photo: Eric Francis, AP)

SaberScouting.com Draft Top 100

1. Tim Beckham, SS, Griffin HS (GA)
2. Pedro Alvarez, 3B, Vanderbilt
3. Buster Posey, C, Florida State
4. Brian Matusz, LHS, San Diego
5. Kyle Skipworth, C, Patriot HS (CA)
6. Justin Smoak, 1B, South Carolina
7. Gordon Beckham, SS, Georgia
8. Aaron Crow, RHS, Missouri
9. Eric Hosmer, 1B, American Heritage HS (FL)
10. Shooter Hunt, RHS, Tulane
11. Yonder Alonso, 1B, Miami (FL)
12. Casey Kelly, SS, Sarasota HS (FL)
13. Christian Friedrich, LHS, Eastern Kentucky
14. Brett Wallace, 1B, Arizona State
15. Zach Collier, RF, Chino Hills HS (CA)
16. Ethan Martin, RHS, Stephen’s County HS (GA)
17. Aaron Hicks, CF, Wilson HS (CA)
18. Brett Lawrie, C, Brookswood SS (CAN)
19. Josh Fields, RHR, Georgia
20. Andrew Cashner, RHR, Texas Christian
21. Tim Melville, RHS, Holt HS (MO)
22. Gerrit Cole, RHS, Orange Lutheran HS (CA)
23. Reese Havens, 2B, South Carolina
24. Mike Montgomery, LHS, Hart HS (CA)
25. Jemile Weeks, 2B, Miami (FL)
26. Conor Gillaspie, 3B, Wichita State
27. Jason Castro, C, Stanford
28. Alex Meyer, RHS, Greensburg HS (IN)
29. Robbie Ross, LHS, Lexington Christian Academy HS (KY)
30. Aaron Weatherford, RHR, Mississippi State
31. Zach Putnam, RHS, Michigan
32. Ross Seaton, RHS, Second Baptist HS (TX)
33. Brad Holt, RHS, UNC-Wilmington
34. Ryan Perry, RHR, Arizona
35. Jake Odorizzi, RHS, Highland HS (IL)
36. David Cooper, 1B, California
37. Isaac Galloway, CF, Los Osos HS (CA)
38. Sonny Gray, RHR, Smyrna HS (TN)
39. Brett Marshall, RHS, Sterling HS (TX)
40. Brett DeVall, LHS, Niceville HS (FL)
41. Wade Miley, LHS, Southeastern Louisiana
42. Dennis Raben, RF, Miami (FL)
43. Zach Stewart, RHR, Texas Tech
44. Ike Davis, 1B, Arizona State
45. Nick Maronde, LHS, Lexington Catholic HS (KY)
46. Tyson Ross, RHR, California
47. Daniel Schlereth, LHR, Arizona
48. Roger Kieschnick, RF, Texas Tech
49. James Darnell, RF, South Carolina
50. Tyler Ladendorf, SS, Howard JC (TX)
51. Kyle Lobstein, LHS, Coconino HS (AZ)
52. Tyler Stovall, LHS, Hokes Bluff HS (AL)
53. Tyler Sample, RHS, Mullen HS (CO)
54. Bryan Price, RHR, Rice
55. Brett Hunter, RHR, Pepperdine
56. Niko Vazquez, 2B, Durango HS (NV)
57. Stephen Fife, RHS, Utah
58. Adrian Nieto, C, American Heritage HS (FL)
59. Chris Carpenter, RHS, Kent State
60. Tanner Scheppers, RHS, Fresno State
61. Jamie Mallard, 1B, Middleton HS (FL)
62. Brent Warren, CF, Xavier HS (IA)
63. Kyle Weiland, RHR, Notre Dame
64. Anthony Hewitt, CF, Salisbury HS (CT)
65. Tyler Chatwood, RHS, East Valley HS (CA)
66. Lonnie Chisenhall, 3B, Pitt CC (NC)
67. Daniel Webb, RHS, Heath HS (KY)
68. Evan Frederickson, LHR, San Francisco
69. Cody Satterwhite, RHR, Mississippi
70. Tim Murphy, LHS, UCLA
71. Zack Cox, 3B, Pleasure Ridge Park HS (KY)
72. Jaff Decker, RF, Sunrise Mountain HS (AZ)
73. Brad Hand, LHS, Chaska HS (MN)
74. Austin Dicharry, RHS, Klein-Collins HS (TX)
75. Petey Paramore, C, Arizona State
76. Lance Lynn, RHS, Mississippi
77. Aaron Shafer, RHS, Wichita State
78. Jordy Mercer, SS, Oklahoma State
79. Scott Bittle, RHR, Mississippi
80. Allan Dykstra, 1B, Wake Forest
81. Scott Green, RHS, Kentucky
82. Anthony Gose, LHR, Bellflower HS (CA)
83. Seth Lintz, RHS, Marshall County HS (KY)
84. Destin Hood, CF, St. Paul’s Episcopal HS (AL)
85. Logan Forsythe, 2B, Arkansas
86. Brett Jacobson, RHR, Vanderbilt
87. Donnie Roach, RHS, Bishop Gorman HS
88. Ryan Flaherty, 2B, Vanderbilt
89. Zeke Spruill, RHS, Kell HS (GA)
90. Eric Thames, LF, Pepperdine
91. Ryan Westmoreland, CF, Portsmouth HS (RI)
92. Bobby Lanigan, RHR, Adelphi
93. Bobbu Bundy, RHS, Sperry HS (OK)
94. Robbie Grossman, LF, Cy-Fair HS (TX)
95. D.J. Mitchell, RHR, CLemson
96. Josh Lindblom, RHR, Purdue
97. Andrew Liebel, RHS, Long Beach State
98. Xavier Avery, CF, Cedar Grove HS (GA)
99. Scott Gorgen, RHS, UC-Irvine
100. Ryan Weber, RHS, Clearwater Central Catholic (FL)

Other Names To Watch

Jay Austin, CF, North Atlanta HS (GA)
Zach Cone, CF, Parkview HS (GA)
Jordan Danks, CF, TExas
Cutter Dykstra, CF, Westlake HS (CA)
Anthony Ferrara, LHS, Riverview HS (FL)
Carlos Gutierrez, RHR, Miami (FL)
Jason Knapp, RHS, North Hunterdon HS (NJ)
Daniel Marrs, RHS, James River HS (VA)
Brandon Miller, C, Woodward Academy HS (GA)
Brett Mooneyham, LHS, Buhach Colony HS (CA)
Shane Peterson, RF, Long Beach State
J.P. Ramirez, LF, Canyon HS (TX)
Xavier Scruggs, 1B, UNLV
Blake Tekotte, CF, Miami (FL)
Joe Wieland, RHS, Bishop Manogue HS (NV)
Vance Worley, RHS, Long Beach State

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Tags: 2008 MLB Draft · Draft Buzz · Prospect Lists

21 responses so far ↓

  • 1 Mike R. // Jun 2, 2008 at 11:16 am

    Ok. I should not get this excited about a post on a blog. I am not a well person. with that out of the way. I can’t wait for that spreadsheet. A few questions:

    1 - Why so low on Ike Davis? You have Gillaspie, (Who I personally love and believe everyone except you is underrating) David Cooper and Raben above him. That is the lowest I have seen him.

    2 - Any reason for Gose to be so low? Did you consider him as a two way player or strictly as an OF?

    3 - Did you take Sonny Gray’s ankle injury into account when ranking him?

    4 - Mallard above “Helium boy” Hewitt? Is that a testament to your opinion of Mallard or your lack of faith in Hewitt’s bat?

    That is all…for now :D

  • 2 Eric // Jun 2, 2008 at 11:38 am

    Thanks for making this list guys, it looks great. This is the only list where I have seen Mallard projected as a top 100 talent, but given what you have written about him, I can see why. You do seem lower on Davis and Allan Dykstra than most, is this because they are mostly 1-dimensional players?

  • 3 Josh // Jun 2, 2008 at 11:58 am

    Well tried this once but the page didn’t load so not sure if it went though.

    What percentage of this list would you say you have seen in person?

    Why Hosmer at 10? Do signing demands come into play with your rankings here or is this off of talent alone?

    I was also surprised you had Dykstra at 80. Is there that much room between he and Cooper who you have in the mid 30s?

  • 4 CB // Jun 2, 2008 at 12:25 pm

    Interesting list. Nice job.

    Looks like you guys see Casey Kelley as a SS. Over at BA they said the scouts they talked to were now coming around to seeing Kelley as more of a pitcher. Any thoughts?

    Do you have any information on Scheppers injury. Supposedly his MRI showed no structural damage. If he wasn’t hurt where would he be on your list?

    Of your top 30, which players are most likely to fall on draft day due to injury risk and/or signability?

  • 5 Scott // Jun 2, 2008 at 2:50 pm

    Kiley/Frankie,

    Great list! Out of curiosity, and of course hypothetically speaking… would you trade the #1 pick this year for #1 next year, with the possibilitly of drafting Strasburg (or an alternative)

  • 6 Alex // Jun 2, 2008 at 3:14 pm

    You guys are going to look bad on not having Ricky Oropesa on this top 100. Word is he is signable and is being looked at in the 50-75 range. Do some research and youll find this out.

  • 7 Goser // Jun 2, 2008 at 3:22 pm

    Hey I just worked out with a club and I had to hit off a kid, I didnt get his name but they all called him Carp, a big lanky leftie, who is a high schooler in az i think. he was the best ive faced all season. He was at least 93, and his curve was really good. I thought he was a college guy at first, but he is only 17. If you guys dont have him on this list you should. The team I worked out for said he has come on huge the past 3 weeks in workouts and he was really good.

  • 8 Jared // Jun 2, 2008 at 4:19 pm

    Great stuff guys. When can we expect the updated Mock Draft?

  • 9 Eric // Jun 2, 2008 at 10:20 pm

    Goser, I guess you’re referring to Ryan Carpenter, a 6′6″ lefty from Glendale, Arizona.

  • 10 Tootall // Jun 3, 2008 at 4:35 pm

    Don’t forget Erik Johnson Los Altos High School

  • 11 Nate // Jun 3, 2008 at 7:49 pm

    Xavier Scruggs is quite possibly the coolest name ever.

  • 12 Chase // Jun 4, 2008 at 12:45 am

    Nate:

    I strongly agree

  • 13 Brian // Jun 4, 2008 at 10:04 am

    So I take it the draft capsules aren’t coming? We’re about 24 hours until the draft….

  • 14 kileymcd // Jun 4, 2008 at 11:34 am

    Okay, guys sorry about the lack of answers in the comments, here goes…

    Mike,
    The top 100 will be edited a bit as this effort was a lot of Kiley thinking and the updated version will have more Frankie thinking integrated, but neither of us is too high on Ike Davis. There’s left-handed power, which is good, but he’s a 1B, and we’re not sure he hits for average.

    Gose was considered only as a pitcher, since that’s where he best projects. That is a bit of a moot point as he reportedly won’t sign as a pitcher, but we’re ranking prospects here and if he’s a pitcher, he’s on the list. As a hitter, he might be an honorable mention.

    Took Gray’s ankle into account, but we’re projecting long-term here. I think in 2 years, he’s where Shooter Hunt is right now, and a lot of those prep arms around him might have fizzled.

    Hewitt will be a bit higher in the updated rankings as we’re getting more info on him every day, but it’s more a testament to Mallard. We’ll detail our feelings on him in a bit, but let’s just say he put on some pre-draft workout shows.

    Eric,
    You’re right on. Dykstra is very similar to Davis, but has more questions about his funky mechanics and ability to get to the power with contact issues against high-level pitching.

    Josh,
    I’ve personally seen about 10% of the list. But in any given part of the country, unless you’ve got someone bankrolling your expenses, that’s about all you’re going to see.

    Hosmer is at 10 on talent alone, he’s one guy I was able to see for a few games a few weeks back, and I’m not sold on him hitting for high average. The power is for real, and there’s a track record of hitting, but he’s not moving off 1B and might be more of a .270 hitter, which isn’t anything to sneeze at, but a few notches below what you’ve probably been told.

    Dykstra, for me, is a guy that I’m not sure gets out of AAA and could have some trouble below there. Cooper is more of a pure hitter with some pop that is probably a DH type, but has a better chance to hit.

  • 15 kileymcd // Jun 4, 2008 at 11:47 am

    CB,
    He’s a legitimate mid first round pitcher, but franchise shortstop is a little harder to find, and he’s got all the tools to do that. But don’t think that having a top tier pitching prospect as an alternative isn’t factoring into whichever team pays the man.

    Still no word on Scheppers yet. I just figured if he’s got a shoulder thing, short of a torn labrum, he’s probably still a decent pick at 60ish (more likely a 60ish signing bonus on a late pick) given the upside.

    Moving away from the top 10-15 players that we talk about in the mock draft, guys that could slip include Gerrit Cole (Boras), Robbie Ross (reported $1.5 M asking price), and Alex Meyer (Boras, hearing $2 M and north for him)

    Scott,
    I think if we’re talking about a Strasburg-level hitter, I might make that swap, but there’s just so much that could happen between now and then, and the whole time value of prospects and all. I couldn’t do it.

    Alex,
    Thanks. We plan on looking bad frequently during the draft. That being said, each team has about 150 players projected as grading for the top 100 picks. So tell Ricky O to join the club with 50 other guys that got squeezed. We’ll also try to do some research, good idea.

    I actually held off on Oropesa (contact questions), Ryan Carpenter (makeup and projection questions), and Erik Johnson (late riser) until I talked to a west coast scout about some guys lower on our list. I think they’ll probably all be in the honorable mention category, but that honorable mention might just have 100 guys in it at this rate. Regardless, good call by you guys, way to keep us on our toes.

    Brian,
    The capsules are coming. We just felt like the mock draft was more important to come out first, whereas the capsules, if they weren’t out last week, won’t matter until draft day, they’re more of a reference thing. But we plan on having them done before the names are called.

  • 16 Josh // Jun 4, 2008 at 11:49 am

    Interesting…thanks. I thought Hosmer would grade out better then that. If that is the case, why isn’t Alonso or Wallace above him? If they are all three going to end up as 1B, would you say their bats are better then?

  • 17 kileymcd // Jun 4, 2008 at 11:59 am

    Hosmer has more power than either of them, maybe 2-3 notches more depending on who you talk to. So, for me, that breaks the tie. And, however unlikely, he has hit 96 from the leftside, so that two-way theme in this draft with the HS talent comes into play again.

  • 18 Brian // Jun 4, 2008 at 12:39 pm

    Cool, thanks for the update kiley.

  • 19 316 // Jun 4, 2008 at 12:51 pm

    What exactly do you not like about Dykstra’s swing? Maybe an article is in order.

  • 20 Goser // Jun 4, 2008 at 1:08 pm

    Yeah it prob was Carpenter. He is legit. Scary Legit.
    He didnt seem 6′6, but could be.

    Has anyone else seen him?

  • 21 Right Field Bleachers » Blog Archive » In the News (6/2) // Aug 13, 2008 at 1:23 pm

    […] - Saber Scouting lists their top 100 prospects in the upcoming draft. […]

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